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Heavy Rain Returns to the Southeast This Weekend as a New Tropical System Lurks

Christy Bowen

2 hours ago
NOAA's National Hurricane Center seven-day tropical weather outlook shows Disturbance 2 near the Florida Panhandle and northeastern Gulf, carrying a 20 percent chance of tropical development.
The NHC gives this Gulf disturbance a 20 percent chance of tropical development over the next seven days. (NOAA/NWS/NHC)

Hurricane experts are watching an area of potential tropical development near the Gulf Coast. Read on for all of the anticipated impacts.

Area of Tropical Moisture to Raise Flooding Threat in the Southeast

Is the second named storm of the 2026 Atlantic season on the horizon? The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring an area of concern in the northeastern corner of the Gulf. Even if this system does not develop into a named tropical storm, the cluster of rain showers and storms is forecast to raise the threat of flooding over the southeastern U.S. this weekend.

NOAA's Weather Prediction Center 72-hour rainfall forecast valid through Sunday, July 19, shows the heaviest totals — over 4 inches — concentrated across the Florida Panhandle and northeastern Gulf Coast.
Forecasters expect over 4 inches of rain across the Florida Panhandle by Sunday as the disturbance moves through. (NOAA/NWS/WPC)

It has been a soggy week for much of the Southeast. More heavy rain is on the horizon as a new round of thunderstorms forms over the Gulf this weekend. The heat dome to the north is expected to begin to weaken late this week, supporting the development of more rain and storms coming up from the Gulf.


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