Something Unusual Is Brewing for Fall Weather This Year
Christy Bowen
2 hours agoA new long-range forecast is giving a preview of what you can expect from Mother Nature over the next three months. Here is a look at what is in store for the end of summer and early fall.
Intensifying El Niño Will Drive Temperatures
An outlook released by The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2 is signaling that while the West will remain warm over the next few months, it could be cooler than average in the Great Lakes. The influence of a growing El Niño will continue to drive much of the weather across the U.S. heading into the fall season. This trend will also impact the temperatures in September and October.
The last long-range forecast released by this group indicated a slightly cooler than originally anticipated August. The latest forecast models suggest that August will trend a bit warmer for the bulk of the eastern U.S. from New England down into Florida. However, the last full month of summer will also still be slightly cooler than average for much of the Great Lakes and Midwest. The northern fringe of Wisconsin and Michigan is predicted to see the greatest departure from normal temperatures.
Heading into September, most of the U.S. is bracing for warmer-than-average temperatures. The toastiest regions when compared to historical averages will be in the Pacific Northwest, the northern Rockies, the northern Plains, the Midwest, the Ohio Valley, the Carolinas, and South Texas. The northern reaches of New England are the only region expected to see cooler-than-typical temperatures this month.
The strengthening El Niño phase is being blamed for the fluctuations in the usual weather patterns. This phase is currently outpacing previous strong El Niño events. The most recent computer models predict that this El Niño could end up being a record-breaker if it continues to keep up this blistering intensification phase.
Past Super El Niño patterns have led to cooler temperatures in the East in October. This is likely to be the story again this year with the forecast of cooler-than-average highs in the South and the Southeast. Conversely, the Northwest and most of California should prepare for warmer-than-average temperatures in October.