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Planning a Florida Winter Trip? You Might Want to Reconsider

Christy Bowen

3 hours ago
Photo of Wet Florida Highway from Wikimedia Commons

Planning a trip to Florida to escape the cold and dreary winter? You may want to think twice about that destination. Climatologists are warning that a strengthening El Niño could put a damper on this winter vacation plans, both figuratively and literally.

Sunshine State Could be the Soggy State This Winter

The dry season in Florida typically runs from October to May. However, the influence of a historically strong El Niño could throw all of these averages out the window. In other words, the Sunshine State could be dealing with one of the wettest winters in recorded history.

El Niño Forecast Map from Wikimedia Commons

What is predicted to be one of the most potent El Niño phases of all time is likely to reach its peak of influence at the end of this year and into early 2027. This will translate to a turbocharged jet stream anchored over the southern third of the nation, supporting the development of frequent rain showers and thunderstorms from California to the east into the Southeast and Florida. The cloud cover associated with this gloomy weather pattern will bring the temperatures down as well.

The same jet stream pattern will also boost the volume of potentially dangerous storm squalls and tornadoes at the end of the winter across the southern U.S. History backs up this prediction, as forecasters note that the number of severe weather reports doubles when a strong El Niño is in control.

The last supercharged El Niño phase to hit Florida ended up being the wettest winter ever in Florida. That winter of 1997 - 1998 culminated with what Florida historians refer to as "the night of the tornadoes." A cluster of 15 twisters roared across the central part of the peninsula, killing 42 people and destroying or damaging about 5,000 homes.


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