Rain and Storms Could Hamper Plans in the Southeast in Days Ahead

It is going to be a soggy end to the month of June for much of the Southeast. This wet weather pattern could persist into the first week of July. Here is a look at the unsettled conditions on the horizon for this corner of the country.

Moisture Machine Firing Up Across the Southeast

The sweltering heat is finally easing over the interior portions of the Southeast. However, the tradeoff is that rain showers and thunderstorms will roam the region with greater frequency.

The temperatures began to come down on Wednesday across the eastern U.S. While the relief will come at a slower pace for the Southeast when compared to the Northeast, you can still count on the heat dome to gradually dissipate through the end of the week.

A small southward dip in the jet stream will slide into the Southeast by the end of the week. This movement in the jet stream will work to bring up areas of moisture from the Gulf and the subtropical Atlantic heading into the beginning of July. The moisture-rich air will generate areas of rain showers and thunderstorms in the days ahead. Meteorologists have noted that some of these storm cells could exceed the intensity of the typical pop-up afternoon thunderstorm typical of the summer months throughout the South.

Although flash flooding is not expected to be a widespread concern, areas that see repeated downpours could be at risk of experiencing flooding issues. This will be something to be aware of for residents who see regular storm activity.

Forecasters are also keeping a close eye on the possibility of tropical weather to spin up near the Gulf and Atlantic coastlines. This type of tropical activity is common when the jet stream slides to the south and hovers near the Gulf Coast or the southwestern corner of the Atlantic. These homegrown tropical weather features are responsible for most of the early-season development.

For a tropical feature to develop, a zone of low pressure would need to come together over the warmest ocean waters or in close proximity to the coastline. The area of low pressure would then need to hang on for long enough to generate gusty winds and a defined center of circulation. Should all of these factors come to fruition, it is possible that a tropical depression could come to life.

Tropical Storm Andrea Forms and Fizzles in the Atlantic

The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season formed early Tuesday when a cluster of showers and thunderstorms developed a center of circulation and evolved into Tropical Storm Andrea. This feature ignited hundreds of miles east-northeast of Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) does not expect it to impact the U.S. in any way.

It did not take long for Andrea to fizzle out. The storm moved at a fast clip of 15 to 20 mph and broke apart when it reached the chilly waters and powerful wind shear circulating in the central Atlantic.

Although it seemed as if the Atlantic was taking its time in producing its first named feature, the wait just seemed longer when compared to the highly active Eastern Pacific season thus far. The first named storm in the Atlantic typically forms on June 20, putting Andrea right on time. The Eastern Pacific has already generated five named storms this year, including two hurricanes.

While there is currently no low-pressure area in place and the jet stream dip has not yet happened, it is still possible that these things could happen over the next few days. Even in the absence of a named tropical feature, the Southeast should prepare for the threat of rain showers, thunderstorms, rough surf conditions, and the possibility of waterspouts. The timing of this inclement weather could be bad news for vacationers headed out to the beach for the long Fourth of July holiday weekend.

What to Expect in the Days Ahead

The temperatures will also naturally slide a bit when clouds persist. The exception to the marginally cooler temperatures will be across the Carolinas. This is because a large high-pressure area anchored off the Atlantic coastline may be powerful enough to push back the clouds and rain for this region. The presence of more sunshine will send the temperatures higher when compared to the rest of the Southeast.

Atlanta will be one of the cities under the gun for scattered storms over the next week. The next few days will feature sporadic storms that are most prevalent during the afternoon and evening hours as the mercury approaches the 90-degree mark. Forecasters are warning that more widespread storm activity is expected as the month of July kicks off. For instance, the long-range forecast models indicate that next Tuesday and Wednesday could usher in severe weather for the Peach City.

Beachgoers in Jacksonville, Florida, will also want to prepare for the likelihood of regular bouts of thunderstorms over the next week. The action heading into the weekend will be the garden variety afternoon and evening storms typical of this time of the year in Florida.

However, storms will become more widespread and persistent on Monday in Jacksonville. Looking ahead to the holiday, this part of northeastern Florida is anticipating a potentially rough few days with storms that will not budge. We will continue to keep tabs on how the holiday forecast is shaping up and update as the big celebration inches closer.

As previously noted, high pressure off the coast will block the bulk of the storm development for the Carolinas. The popular summer vacation town of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, will be mostly dry over the next week. The coastal community will see the threat of isolated thunderstorms on Saturday, with a renewed risk of morning activity on Monday.

The next significant chance of widespread storms in Myrtle Beach will hold off until next Wednesday, when the area of high pressure loses its influence. Temperatures will hold steady in the mid to upper 80s for highs and overnight lows hovering in the mid 70s over the next week in this part of the region.

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