What Parts of the U.S. Should Expect Warmer Temperatures This Summer

A new analysis released on Thursday by The Weather Company and Atmospheric G2 is painting a toasty few months ahead for much of the U.S. Here is a peek at the updated long-range outlook.

What to Expect for Temperatures This Summer

The bulk of the U.S. can expect temperatures to hover above the historical average this summer. While the Pacific Northwest will start the season with average conditions, this corner of the country will likely experience the most dramatic departure from normal temperatures by the end of the summer.

The official start of the meteorological summer is June 1. The central and southern Plains are expected to see the biggest departure from average temperatures. This abnormal heat will also expand into the Four Corners region. Cities such as Dallas and Denver may be surprised at how hot it feels when compared to usual June standards.

The core of the unseasonably warm weather will then move to the west in July and August, encompassing most of the Northwest, the Great Basin, and the northern Rockies at this time. Meanwhile, the Northeast and the Midwest are bracing for what is likely to be warmer-than-normal temperatures throughout the entirety of the three-month season. This will put major metro areas such as Minneapolis, Chicago, Philadelphia, and New York City in the zone for a summer that trends hotter than usual.

The long-range forecast is calling for temperatures to hover slightly cooler than average for the Gulf Coast and the southeastern U.S. by the time that July and August roll around. However, it is important to note that it will still be hot and humid in this part of the country.

When compared to the sizzling summer of 2024, the East Coast and the Desert Southwest are not likely to see comparable heat. It will be the opposite situation in the Pacific Northwest and across the north-central U.S., where temperatures are forecast to soar to levels greater than the summer of 2024.

Precipitation Forecasts for the Summer

The precipitation picture for the upcoming season is also a bit of a mixed bag. A majority of the eastern U.S. is forecast to see rainfall levels above average. This could go a long way in alleviating the ongoing drought in this region. A highly active monsoon season could also bring more rain than is typically seen across the Southwest.

Conversely, the northern and central Plains and over into the northern Rockies are the areas of the country most likely not to see as much rain this summer when compared to the norm. This could translate to worsening drought conditions for these regions.

While these long-range forecasts are helpful when trying to get a bigger picture of what the season may have in store, there will always be situations that depart from the generalities.

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