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Frost, Rain, and Cold to Grip the Northeast Before Weekend Warmup

Christy Bowen

1 hour ago
A GOES-19 AirMass RGB composite satellite image from May 12, 2026, showing the cold polar air mass (deep purple and blue) dominating the Northeast and Great Lakes region, in stark contrast to the warm, dry air (orange and red) across the central United States.
A GOES-19 AirMass composite satellite image captured May 12, 2026, shows a cold polar air mass locked over the Northeast, fueling the below-average temperatures and unsettled weather expected through the week. (NOAA/NESDIS/STAR)

While most of the country will see a warmup unfold this week, the Northeast will continue to see cooler temperatures and soggy conditions in the days ahead. Here is a look at what you can expect in this corner of the country this week.

Below-Average Temperatures and Frost Risk to Open the Week

The Southwest will sizzle this week with triple-digit temperatures. The Plains states will also see the temperatures start to climb. However, the Northeast will be left out in the cold, so to speak.

The latest forecast models suggest that temperatures will hover below historical averages for the middle of May across the Ohio Valley, the mid-Atlantic, the Northeast, and New England. The chill in the air will remain entrenched over the region thanks to a prominent dip in the jet stream. This dip will allow cooler air from Canada to sneak into some parts of the northeastern U.S. at times.

A Climate Central temperature anomaly map based on NOAA GFS forecast data showing average daily temperatures running 5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit below the 1991–2020 historical normal across the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Northeast from May 11–14, 2026.
Forecast temperature anomalies show the Great Lakes and Northeast running 5–10°F below the historical average for mid-May, confirming the unseasonable chill gripping the region this week. (Climate Central)

Daily highs are forecast to trend 5 to 10 degrees below the historical average for mid-May. The most extreme northern reaches of the region will also be under the threat of a frost or freeze. The coolest temperatures are expected to hit late Monday and early Tuesday across the Great Lakes and the interior Northeast. Overnight readings will fall into the 30s at this time, raising the risk of damage to sensitive plants.


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